← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Crotone win | 26% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Crotone −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Guillaume Gigliotti · Crotone |
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Viola · Benevento |
| 31' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Montipò · Benevento |
| 49' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Crotone |
| 69' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · Benevento |
| 77' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Benevento |
| 90' | ⚽ | Riccardo Improta · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 175.00 | 357.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 4.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1572.64 | 1536.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.94 | -9.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| league points | 25.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | 1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 29.62 | 27.96 |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |