β Serie B 2019 Β· Fri, Nov 22, 08:00 PM UTC Β· ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara win | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cremonese win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese β0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Pescara β0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | π¨ | Matteo Ciofani Β· Pescara |
| 44' | π¨ | Antonio Caracciolo Β· Cremonese |
| 60' | π¨ | Michele Castagnetti Β· Cremonese |
| 63' | π¨ | Grigoris Kastanos Β· Pescara |
| 72' | π¨ | Francesco Migliore Β· Cremonese |
| 80' | β½ | Cristian Galano Β· Pescara |
| 88' | π¨ | Cristian Galano Β· Pescara |
| 90' | β½ | Francesco Migliore Β· Cremonese |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 144.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1498.30 | 1452.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.32 | -10.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.74 |
| league points | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 13.13 | 12.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 28.58 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |