← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Nov 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Salernitana win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Cremonese −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Salernitana |
| 28' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 48' | 🟨 | Francesco Migliore · Cremonese |
| 55' | 🟨 | Samuel Gustafson · Cremonese |
| 55' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 72' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 79' | 🟨 | Fabio Ceravolo · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 40.00 | 132.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1444.71 | 1408.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.78 | -5.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.85 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 70.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.75 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.68 | 24.54 |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |