← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Spezia win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Spezia +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Alessandro De Vitis · Pisa |
| 22' | 🟨 | Michele Marconi · Pisa |
| 31' | ⚽ | Michele Marconi · Pisa |
| 62' | 🟨 | Robert Gucher · Pisa |
| 69' | ⚽ | Antonino Ragusa · Spezia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Nicholas Siega · Pisa |
| 76' | ⚽ | Antonino Ragusa · Spezia |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ramzi Aya · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michele Marconi · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟥 | Michele Marconi · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Soufiane Bidaoui · Spezia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simone Benedetti · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 526.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 1.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1396.54 | 1466.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.07 | 16.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.83 | 26.30 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |