← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 47% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Cittadella win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Christian D'Urso · Cittadella |
| 12' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Perugia |
| 14' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 45' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 81' | 🟨 | Alberto Paleari · Cittadella |
| 85' | 🟨 | Guglielmo Vicario · Perugia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Michael De Marchi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 557.00 | 1592.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1503.25 | 1502.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.75 | 0.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.54 | 27.54 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |