← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 42% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Livorno win | 28% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Livorno |
| 34' | 🟨 | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alessandro Capello · Venezia FC |
| 39' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antonio Porcino · Livorno |
| 61' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Venezia FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Matija Boben · Livorno |
| 85' | 🟨 | Franco Zuculini · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lollo · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lollo · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟥 | Lorenzo Lollo · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 131.00 | 373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1434.77 | 1386.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.63 | -4.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 26.02 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |