← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Juve Stabia win | 22% | 4.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Livorno −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Massimilano Carlini · Juve Stabia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Juve Stabia |
| 49' | ⚽ (og) | Lukáš Zima · Juve Stabia |
| 53' | 🟨 | Pasquale Fazio · Juve Stabia |
| 57' | ⚽ | Davide Agazzi · Livorno |
| 62' | 🟨 | Andrea Luci · Livorno |
| 82' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Gonnelli · Livorno |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 366.00 | 854.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1380.26 | 1303.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.15 | 39.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.46 | 28.18 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |