← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Venezia FC win | 23% | 4.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 33' | 🟨 | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 57' | 🟨 | Marco Modolo · Venezia FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Youssef Maleh · Venezia FC |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Alessio Da Cruz · Ascoli |
| 74' | 🟨 | Raffaele Pucino · Ascoli |
| 82' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Venezia FC |
| 87' | ⚽ | Gianmarco Zigoni · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 154.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1440.65 | 1432.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.78 | -10.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |