← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 55% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.79 |
| Perugia win | 18% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Perugia −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.90 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 53' | ⚽ | Federico Melchiorri · Perugia |
| 57' | ⚽ | Mattia Mustacchio · Crotone |
| 65' | ⚽ | Gianluca Di Chiara · Perugia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mattia Mustacchio · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 336.00 | 550.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.59 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1540.41 | 1490.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.29 | -12.82 |
| eye test v1 | 1.40 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.51 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.01 | 25.61 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |