← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Oct 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
| Ascoli win | 19% | 5.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Perugia −0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Gianluca Scamacca · Ascoli |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Paolo Fernandes · Perugia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Falcinelli · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 546.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1493.40 | 1437.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.29 | -10.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 4.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.00 | 28.25 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |