← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Oct 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 45% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Spezia win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Spezia −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Paolo Bartolomei · Spezia |
| 47' | 🟨 | Salvador Ferrer · Spezia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jacopo Dezi · Empoli |
| 56' | ⚽ | Soufiane Bidaoui · Spezia |
| 71' | ⚽ | Davide Frattesi · Empoli |
| 75' | 🟨 | Elio Capradossi · Spezia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Claudio Terzi · Spezia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Spezia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Karim Laribi · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 150.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1620.79 | 1460.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.00 | -24.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.57 |
| league points | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.16 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |