← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Oct 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.24 |
| Livorno win | 20% | 4.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Livorno −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Livorno |
| 60' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Livorno |
| 77' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 79' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 80' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 80' | 🟥 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 82' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 82' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Gonnelli · Livorno |
| 87' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1581.00 | 362.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1498.70 | 1385.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.26 | -14.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 25.75 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |