← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Oct 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 38% | 2.64 |
| Cittadella win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Cittadella +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Roberto Zammarini · Pordenone |
| 22' | 🟨 | Davide Mazzocco · Pordenone |
| 36' | 🟨 | Davide Gavazzi · Pordenone |
| 41' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 47' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Cittadella |
| 62' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| venue | Dacia Arena |
| coach days | 618.00 | 1578.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1496.09 | 1497.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.14 | 3.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.56 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.25 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 27.75 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |