← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Oct 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 63% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Venezia FC win | 13% | 7.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −1 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Venezia FC −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 28' | 🟨 | Adriano Montalto · Venezia FC |
| 35' | ⚽ | Simy · Crotone |
| 55' | ⚽ | Simy · Crotone |
| 68' | ⚽ | Alessandro Capello · Venezia FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Crotone |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alessandro Capello · Venezia FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lollo · Venezia FC |
| 84' | ⚽ | Vladimir Golemić · Crotone |
| 89' | 🟨 | Franco Zuculini · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 329.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1543.80 | 1448.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.96 | 28.43 |
| eye test v1 | 1.75 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| league points | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.97 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 26.07 |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |