← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Oct 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 61% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
| Livorno win | 13% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno −1 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Frosinone Calcio −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Michele Rocca · Livorno |
| 50' | 🟨 | Fabio Mazzeo · Livorno |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 79' | 🟨 | Andrea Beghetto · Frosinone Calcio |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 142.00 | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1483.99 | 1382.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.45 | -18.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 15.25 | 16.25 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 25.15 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |