← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Oct 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Cremonese win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Empoli −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
| 22' | ⚽ | Leo Štulac · Empoli |
| 42' | 🟨 | Kingsley Michael · Cremonese |
| 56' | ⚽ | Danilo Soddimo · Cremonese |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
| 66' | 🟥 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 141.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1630.23 | 1462.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.05 | -16.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 15.25 | 14.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 28.39 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |