← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Oct 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara win | 39% | 2.70 |
| Spezia win | 31% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Spezia +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | José Machín · Pescara |
| 38' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mirko Drudi · Pescara |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ledian Memushaj · Pescara |
| 69' | ⚽ | Paolo Bartolomei · Spezia |
| 71' | ⚽ | Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen · Spezia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spezia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Pescara |
| 80' | 🟨 | José Machín · Pescara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 110.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1476.98 | 1441.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.88 | -54.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| league points | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 12.75 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.24 | 25.58 |
| state index | -0.05 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |