← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Oct 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Cosenza win | 21% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cosenza −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 56' | 🟨 | Agostino Camigliano · Cittadella |
| 57' | ⚽ | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 62' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Davide Luppi · Cittadella |
| 71' | ⚽ | Jaime Báez · Cosenza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1570.00 | 1051.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1518.68 | 1412.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.45 | -14.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 12.25 | 13.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.63 | — |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.75 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |