β Serie B 2019 Β· Sun, Oct 6, 07:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Pescara win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli β0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Pescara β0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | π¨ | Mirko Drudi Β· Pescara |
| 33' | π¨ | Gennaro Scognamiglio Β· Pescara |
| 43' | π¨ | Michele Troiano Β· Ascoli |
| 71' | π¨ | Edoardo Masciangelo Β· Pescara |
| 87' | β½ | Cristian Galano Β· Pescara |
| 90' | β½ (pen) | Massimiliano Busellato Β· Pescara |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 127.00 | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1456.33 | 1459.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.51 | -4.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 27.19 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |