← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Oct 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Salernitana win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Salernitana +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Mirko Gori · Frosinone Calcio |
| 28' | 🟨 | Mirko Gori · Frosinone Calcio |
| 28' | 🟥 | Mirko Gori · Frosinone Calcio |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 42' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 65' | 🟨 | Walter López · Salernitana |
| 69' | 🟨 | Francesco Zampano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marco Capuano · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| 3.80 |
| coach days | 97.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1414.19 | 1484.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.98 | -24.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 6.75 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 27.54 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |