β Serie B 2019 Β· Sat, Oct 5, 04:00 PM UTC Β· ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Juve Stabia win | 25% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani β0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Juve Stabia β0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | β½ | Anthony Taugourdeau Β· Trapani |
| 34' | π¨ | Stefano Scognamillo Β· Trapani |
| 76' | π¨ | Alessandro Mallamo Β· Juve Stabia |
| 79' | β½ | Luigi Canotto Β· Juve Stabia |
| 80' | π¨ | Luigi Canotto Β· Juve Stabia |
| 88' | β½ | Francesco Forte Β· Juve Stabia |
| 89' | π¨ | Francesco Forte Β· Juve Stabia |
| 90' | π¨ | M'Bala Nzola Β· Trapani |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 24 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trapani | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.59 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale |
| coach days | 96.00 | 826.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1444.16 | 1258.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.96 | -30.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | β |
| league points | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | β |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 0.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 29.09 |
| state index | -0.37 | -2.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |