← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Oct 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Chievo win | 31% | 3.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Chievo +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Davide Marsura · Livorno |
| 6' | ⚽ | Manuel Pucciarelli · Chievo |
| 22' | 🟨 | Matija Boben · Livorno |
| 25' | ⚽ | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 28' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Chievo |
| 30' | ⚽ | Davide Marsura · Livorno |
| 38' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 54' | ⚽ | Riccardo Meggiorini · Chievo |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Riccardo Meggiorini · Chievo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nicolas Frey · Chievo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alejandro Rodríguez · Chievo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Boštjan Cesar · Chievo |
| 89' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Chievo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Davide Marsura · Livorno |
| 90' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Chievo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Manuel Pucciarelli · Chievo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 338.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.97 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1390.70 | 1499.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.99 | 10.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.84 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 5.75 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.98 | 25.93 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |