← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Oct 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Spezia win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Benevento +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Christian Maggio · Benevento |
| 9' | 🟨 | Simone Bastoni · Spezia |
| 75' | 🟨 | Giulio Maggiore · Spezia |
| 87' | ⚽ | Andrés Tello · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Maggio · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟥 | Christian Maggio · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 96.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1449.75 | 1561.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -57.11 | 22.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| league points | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 29.08 |
| state index | -1.08 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |