← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Oct 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 59% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.17 |
| Virtus Entella win | 16% | 6.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Crotone −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
| 27' | ⚽ | Simy · Crotone |
| 38' | ⚽ | Simy · Crotone |
| 53' | 🟨 | Marco Chiosa · Virtus Entella |
| 63' | ⚽ | Giovanni Crociata · Crotone |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Poli · Virtus Entella |
| 79' | ⚽ | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 87' | 🟨 | Guillaume Gigliotti · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 308.00 | 461.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.37 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1537.57 | 1435.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.66 | 13.52 |
| eye test v1 | 1.02 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.60 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| league points | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.35 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.81 | 27.78 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |