← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Sep 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Juve Stabia win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Juve Stabia +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 27' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 39' | 🟨 | Karamoko Cissé · Juve Stabia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Davide Luppi · Cittadella |
| 64' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 76' | 🟨 | Adriano Mezavilla · Juve Stabia |
| 81' | 🟨 | Luigi Canotto · Juve Stabia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 89' | 🟨 | Christian Mora · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Karamoko Cissé · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Karamoko Cissé · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 819.00 | 1550.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1264.00 | 1496.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.17 | -20.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| league points | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.48 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 30.77 | 26.14 |
| state index | -2.12 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |