← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Sep 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
| Cosenza win | 19% | 5.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Luca Bittante · Cosenza |
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luca Paganini · Frosinone Calcio |
| 48' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Cosenza |
| 50' | ⚽ | Mirko Carretta · Cosenza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Paganini · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ariaudo · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟥 | Luca Paganini · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 119.00 | 1031.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1488.05 | 1410.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.96 | -26.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.17 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 28.19 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |