β Serie B 2019 Β· Tue, Sep 24, 07:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Pordenone win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Benevento +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | β½ | Oliver Kragl Β· Benevento |
| 18' | π¨ | Alberto Almici Β· Pordenone |
| 22' | π¨ | Gaetano Monachello Β· Pordenone |
| 38' | π¨ | Christian Maggio Β· Benevento |
| 40' | β½ | Michele Camporese Β· Pordenone |
| 49' | π¨ | Lucas Chiaretti Β· Pordenone |
| 81' | π¨ | PΓ«rparim Hetemaj Β· Benevento |
| 84' | π¨ | Luca Strizzolo Β· Pordenone |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | β | 0.60 |
| venue | Dacia Arena |
| coach days | 586.00 | 115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | β | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | β | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | β | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | β | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | β | 0.61 |
| elo | 1497.51 | 1566.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | β | 38.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | β | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.75 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | β | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | β | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | β | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | β | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | β | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | β | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.30 |
| league points | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | β | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | β | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 30.35 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.68 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | β | 2.00 |