← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Sep 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Spezia win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Juan Ramos · Spezia |
| 4' | ⚽ (pen) | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 18' | 🟨 | Matteo Ardemagni · Ascoli |
| 20' | 🟨 | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 44' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alessio Da Cruz · Ascoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Juan Ramos · Spezia |
| 53' | 🟥 | Juan Ramos · Spezia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Gyasi · Spezia |
| 60' | ⚽ | Matteo Ardemagni · Ascoli |
| 80' | 🟨 | Simone Padoin · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 115.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1448.06 | 1485.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.61 | -5.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.50 | 79.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 25.19 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |