← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Sep 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 58% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Juve Stabia win | 16% | 6.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Juve Stabia −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Alessandro Rossi · Juve Stabia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
| 83' | 🟨 | Paolo Branduani · Juve Stabia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Guillaume Gigliotti · Crotone |
| 89' | 🟨 | Salvatore Elia · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mattia Mustacchio · Crotone |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mattia Mustacchio · Crotone |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 15 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 297.00 | 815.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | — |
| elo | 1514.72 | 1268.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.80 | -31.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.70 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 70.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.25 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.25 |
| squad age | 28.34 | 28.79 |
| state index | 0.28 | -2.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |