β Serie B 2019 Β· Sun, Sep 22, 07:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Salernitana win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.09 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Salernitana +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | π¨ | Marco Moscati Β· Trapani |
| 29' | π¨ | Giacomo Tulli Β· Trapani |
| 43' | π¨ | Francesco Di Tacchio Β· Salernitana |
| 53' | π¨ | Stefano Scognamillo Β· Trapani |
| 72' | β½ (pen) | Sofian Kiyine Β· Salernitana |
| 86' | π¨ | Fabio Maistro Β· Salernitana |
| 87' | π¨ | Anthony Taugourdeau Β· Trapani |
| 90' | π¨ | Gregorio Luperini Β· Trapani |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trapani | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale |
| coach days | 83.00 | 83.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | β | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | β | 0.46 |
| elo | 1438.26 | 1388.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -60.46 | -0.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | β |
| league points | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 81.67 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | β | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | β | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 25.64 |
| state index | -1.05 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |