β Serie B 2019 Β· Sat, Sep 21, 04:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Amabile
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
| Pisa win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo β0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pisa β0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | β½ | Michele Marconi Β· Pisa |
| 41' | π¨ | Francesco Lisi Β· Pisa |
| 44' | π¨ | Riccardo Meggiorini Β· Chievo |
| 56' | β½ | Michele Marconi Β· Pisa |
| 69' | β½ | Jacopo Segre Β· Chievo |
| 78' | β½ | Lorenzo Dickmann Β· Chievo |
| 83' | π¨ | Francesco Belli Β· Pisa |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 82.00 | 477.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | β |
| elo | 1506.74 | 1411.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.64 | 25.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.71 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | β |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 70.67 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.88 |
| scorer concentration | β | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | β |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.81 | 27.32 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |