← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Sep 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Crotone win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cremonese −0.25 | 49% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Fabio Ceravolo · Cremonese |
| 26' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 28' | ⚽ | Niccolò Zanellato · Crotone |
| 43' | ⚽ | Simone Palombi · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Crotone |
| 86' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Cremonese |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 324.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1460.87 | 1524.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.28 | 5.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.78 |
| league points | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.67 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 5.75 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.46 | 28.25 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |