← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Sep 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 52% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Cittadella win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (pen) | Antonino La Gumina · Empoli |
| 30' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 71' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 79' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alberto Brignoli · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 112.00 | 1543.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1629.91 | 1493.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.08 | -6.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| league points | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 26.74 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |