← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Sep 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.98 |
| Venezia FC win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −1 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Frosinone Calcio −1 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fiordaliso · Venezia FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 54' | ⚽ | Alessandro Capello · Venezia FC |
| 56' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 58' | 🟨 | Youssef Maleh · Venezia FC |
| 61' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marco Capuano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lollo · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 111.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1504.88 | 1420.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.77 | -2.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 6.13 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.72 | 26.18 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |