β Serie B 2019 Β· Sat, Sep 14, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Trapani win | 20% | 4.93 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella β0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Trapani β0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | π¨ | Davide Diaw Β· Cittadella |
| 43' | π¨ | Cristian Cauz Β· Trapani |
| 46' | β½ | Ε½an Celar Β· Cittadella |
| 51' | π¨ | Andrea Dini Β· Trapani |
| 68' | β½ | Davide Diaw Β· Cittadella |
| 71' | π¨ | Amedeo Benedetti Β· Cittadella |
| 86' | π¨ | Stefano Scognamillo Β· Trapani |
| 89' | π¨ | Federico Proia Β· Cittadella |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Trapani |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1536.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | β |
| elo | 1482.23 | 1449.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.78 | -56.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.50 | 78.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 13.88 | 13.75 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | β |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 27.25 |
| state index | -0.43 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |