← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Sep 14, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 42% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Livorno win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Ascoli |
| 27' | 🟨 | Moutir Chajia · Ascoli |
| 43' | ⚽ | Alberto Gerbo · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Michel Morganella · Livorno |
| 77' | 🟨 | Andrea Gasbarro · Livorno |
| 84' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andreaw Gravillon · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 105.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1422.66 | 1400.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.52 | 4.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.50 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 12.75 | 13.75 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 27.49 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |