← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Aug 25, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Chievo win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 60% | 1.61 |
| Chievo −0.25 | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Riccardo Meggiorini · Chievo |
| 15' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Perugia |
| 38' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Chievo |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Emanuel Vignato · Chievo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Bianchimano · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 481.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1476.67 | 1498.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.75 | -11.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -1.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | — | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 4.60 |
| skill v1 | — | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.22 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.25 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |