← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, May 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Kayserispor win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +1 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Fenerbahce +1 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 18' | ⚽ | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 32' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Fenerbahce |
| 44' | 🟨 | Karlo Muhar · Kayserispor |
| 55' | 🟨 | İlhan Parlak · Kayserispor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aziz Behich · Kayserispor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 89' | 🟨 | İlhan Parlak · Kayserispor |
| 89' | 🟥 | İlhan Parlak · Kayserispor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 75.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1491.08 | 1698.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.33 | -2.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 52.00 | 92.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 19.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 27.52 | 30.83 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |