← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, May 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Umit Ozturk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Ankaragücü win | 25% | 4.20 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ankaragücü +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.46 |
| Under | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Davidson · Alanyaspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Şahverdi Çetin · Ankaragücü |
| 88' | 🟨 | Atakan Çankaya · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 103.00 | 714.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1442.73 | 1547.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.94 | -54.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| league points | 44.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.98 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 30.46 |
| state index | -1.19 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |