← Süper Lig 2020 · Tue, May 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Halis Ozkahya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 63% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.72 |
| Sivasspor win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Sivasspor −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Casimir Ninga · Sivasspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Olarenwaju Kayode · Sivasspor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Robin Yalçın · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gökhan Gönül · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 40.00 | 710.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1712.23 | 1623.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.76 | 3.36 |
| eye test v1 | 1.42 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| league points | 92.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.09 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.91 | 30.61 |
| state index | 1.00 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |