← Süper Lig 2020 · Tue, May 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabıyık, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 69% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.58 |
| Karagumruk win | 13% | 7.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −1.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Besiktas −1.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Andrea Bertolacci · Karagumruk |
| 44' | 🟨 | Rachid Ghezzal · Besiktas |
| 46' | 🟨 | Andrea Bertolacci · Karagumruk |
| 54' | ⚽ | Rachid Ghezzal · Besiktas |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 62' | 🟨 | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 64' | 🟨 | Welinton · Besiktas |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 76' | 🟥 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 80' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 85' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lucas Castro · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serhat Ahmetoglu · Karagumruk |
| coach days | 496.00 | 557.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1728.02 | 1556.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.26 | -26.19 |
| eye test v1 | 1.16 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| league points | 93.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 87.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.50 | 1.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 30.37 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.15 | 1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |