← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, May 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Ozgur Yankaya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 27% | 3.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Genclerbirligi −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.82 |
| Under | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 16' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 28' | 🟨 | Bogdan Stancu · Genclerbirligi |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jeremain Lens · Karagumruk |
| 60' | ⚽ | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 76' | ⚽ | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ömürcan Artan · Genclerbirligi |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Jeremain Lens · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enzo Roco · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | İlker Karakaş · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu |
| coach days | 554.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 0.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1546.95 | 1410.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.68 | -3.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 62.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.51 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 29.93 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.55 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |