← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, May 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Fırat Aydınus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 |
| Ankaragücü win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü +1 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Fenerbahce +1 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Alper Potuk · Ankaragücü |
| 42' | ⚽ | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 83' | 🟨 | Tiago Pinto · Ankaragücü |
| 85' | 🟨 | Zvonimir Šarlija · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 96.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1469.10 | 1706.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.51 | 17.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 1.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.77 |
| league points | 44.00 | 89.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 5.19 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.60 |
| squad age | 28.15 | 29.10 |
| state index | -0.71 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |