← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, May 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Huseyin Gocek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Denizlispor win | 31% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Rizespor +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Fabiano · Denizlispor |
| 33' | 🟨 | Fernando Andrade · Rizespor |
| 72' | ⚽ | Braian Samudio · Rizespor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Dario Melnjak · Rizespor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Marvin Bakalorz · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 182.00 | 62.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1385.49 | 1498.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.48 | 12.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.66 | 29.18 |
| state index | -1.35 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |