← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, May 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabıyık, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.71 |
| Hatayspor win | 15% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −1.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Besiktas −1.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ (og) | Babajide David Akintola · Besiktas |
| 11' | ⚽ | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 14' | ⚽ | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 38' | ⚽ | Georges-Kévin N'Koudou · Besiktas |
| 44' | ⚽ | Rıdvan Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 47' | 🟨 | Abdurrahman Canli · Hatayspor |
| 55' | ⚽ | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 65' | ⚽ | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 74' | 🟨 | Babajide David Akintola · Hatayspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Rúben Ribeiro · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 5 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 13 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 486.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1743.77 | 1631.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.62 | -2.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| league points | 90.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 28.59 |
| state index | 0.83 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.10 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |