← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Apr 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Zorbay Kucuk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Antalyaspor win | 29% | 3.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (og) | Eren Albayrak · Karagumruk |
| 24' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Fredy · Antalyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ufuk Akyol · Antalyaspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Andrea Bertolacci · Karagumruk |
| 62' | 🟨 | Enzo Roco · Karagumruk |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Lucas Castro · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ruud Boffin · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amilton da Silva · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.64 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu |
| coach days | 544.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1569.33 | 1492.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.14 | -19.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 61.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.62 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 28.82 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.50 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |