← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Apr 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ozgur Yankaya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Denizlispor win | 24% | 4.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Kayserispor −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | İlhan Parlak · Kayserispor |
| 26' | ⚽ | Daniel Avramovski · Kayserispor |
| 31' | ⚽ | Ángelo Sagal · Denizlispor |
| 37' | 🟨 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 39' | 🟨 | Karlo Muhar · Kayserispor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 41' | 🟥 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Daniel Avramovski · Kayserispor |
| 51' | ⚽ | Nehuén Paz · Kayserispor |
| 55' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 15 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| 60' | ⚽ | İlhan Parlak · Kayserispor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ali Yavuz Kol · Denizlispor |
| 81' | ⚽ | Muris Mešanovič · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sakıb Aytaç · Denizlispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sakıb Aytaç · Denizlispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Melih Okutan · Kayserispor |
| coach days | 58.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1470.75 | 1396.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.35 | -3.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 45.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.81 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 27.50 |
| state index | -0.94 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |