← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Apr 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 47% | 2.11 |
| Goztep win | 27% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Goztep +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Anthony Nwakaeme · Trabzonspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Kerim Alıcı · Goztep |
| 41' | 🟨 | Fousseni Diabaté · Goztep |
| 45' | ⚽ | Adis Jahović · Goztep |
| 50' | 🟨 | Atınç Nukan · Goztep |
| 67' | 🟥 | Berat Ayberk Özdemir · Trabzonspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Obinna Nwobodo · Goztep |
| 88' | ⚽ | Caleb Ekuban · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Obinna Nwobodo · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟥 | Obinna Nwobodo · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marlon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 117.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1518.40 | 1663.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.23 | 9.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 55.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 26.16 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |