← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Apr 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Abdulkadir Bitigen, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
| Denizlispor win | 21% | 4.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ankaragücü −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.82 |
| Under | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 35' | ⚽ | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fabiano · Denizlispor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Hasan Ayaroğlu · Denizlispor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Zvonimir Šarlija · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oğuz Yılmaz · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 79.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1505.60 | 1387.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.24 | -15.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| league points | 43.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 4.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 0.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.17 | 29.68 |
| state index | 0.17 | -1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |