← Süper Lig 2020 · Mon, Apr 12, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasin Kol, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 67% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.79 |
| Denizlispor win | 12% | 8.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Alanyaspor −1.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Marvin Bakalorz · Denizlispor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Adam Bareiro · Alanyaspor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Kubilay Aktas · Denizlispor |
| 51' | ⚽ | Veton Tusha · Denizlispor |
| 54' | ⚽ | Berkan Kutlu · Alanyaspor |
| 66' | 🟨 | Oğuz Yılmaz · Denizlispor |
| 68' | ⚽ | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Alanyaspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Steven Caulker · Alanyaspor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marvin Bakalorz · Denizlispor |
| 88' | ⚽ | Mustafa Pektemek · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu |
| coach days | 681.00 | 162.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1602.70 | 1401.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.18 | 3.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.70 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| league points | 55.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.59 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.34 | 30.33 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |